Monday, November 06, 2017

Who is actually pulling the trigger in Saudi Arabia?

There is an unspoken, unwritten rule among the sons of the Saud - that no one shall spill pure blood.

That rule was broken last week.

In a naked power grab, Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman launched a purge of all those who might have opposed his claim to power. He was encouraged to this by Trump via Jared Kushner.

As a result of this power grab - two Saudi princes are dead. Prince Mansour bin Muqrin was killed in a helicopter crash near Abha[1], and Prince Abdul Aziz bin Fahd was killed "resisting arrest"[2, 3].

News reports had indicated that Prince Miteb bin Abdul Abdullah, the head of the Saudi Arabian National Guard (SANG) had been dismissed [4].  This development had unnerved a great many people as the SANG literally keeps the peace in KSA.  The SANG basically guaranteed that the unwritten and unspoken contract was held in place.

By disabling the SANG conflict resolution mechanism, Prince Mohammed Bin Salman set in motion a conflict that could only end with more Sudairi blood being spilled.

The commander of the SANG now reports to an "Anti-Corruption Committee" chaired by Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

In the days of old, SANG was really a wrapper around something called Vinnell Arabia. This agency despite it's mercenary appearances was critical to the security of the world's oil supply.

I don't think that SANG would ever spill royal Saudi blood.

I suspect whoever is pulling the trigger is not part of SANG.


At 9:10 AM, Blogger Ralphy said...

the events in sa will have consequences.

there was a riot when public televison was introduced in about 1969. a royal was killed. from this, the basis of al qaeda was developed, the king asassinated and terrorism multiplied to combat foreign influence in sa.

allah only knows what will develop from this.

and women are driving. scandalous.

At 9:17 AM, Blogger Ralphy said...

I must confess I own a kinda assault weapon. it's ruger mini-14 ranch version. I refuse to buy any of the ar-15 or ak-47 style weapons. those are worthless weapons for anything other than killing people.

there are simply too many criminals and psycho paths buying them.

it needs to stop.

At 10:55 AM, Blogger maverick said...

There are only three groups of people that have complete access to the palaces,

1) Guards (usually Pakistanis, Yemenis or Egyptians)
2) Servants (mostly Indians, Pakistanis, Filipinos or Chinese)
3) Prostitutes (usually Russian/Ukrainian, Central Asian)

Of these the servants and prostitutes are unarmed.

That leaves only the Pakistanis, Yemenis or Egyptians as likely trigger pullers.

But I don't know if either would dare kill a member of the royal family.

Could be a completely outside team - not the usual suspects.

At 8:00 AM, Blogger Ralphy said...

why does it make a difference who is pulling the trigger? Prince Salman al saud, the presumed heir to the throne, is the current puppet master and benefactor from the trigger pulling.

he is the guy we must be concerned about. what are his policies? will he be a steady hand guiding arabia to modernity? if not, what are the consequences?

At 8:34 AM, Blogger maverick said...

Dear Ralphy,

I think it matters because whoever is carrying out these arrests becomes the effective foundation of MbS' power. His praetorian guard is now the sole determinant of the destiny of KSA.

Right now MbS does not control all the black money flows. If he cannot seize control of these, his new Saudi regime will hemorrhage wealth at an astounding rate.

The people he has arrested know the exact Swiss bank account numbers, the hawala traders and security protocols that channel the illicit money flow. Without their cooperation, MbS cannot control these flows.

This is where IMHO there is a paradox which leads to MbS to his inevitable and painful doom.

If these Princes and big shots MbS has arrested do not give up the information he seeks - his coup will fail. He will be murdered by his own praetorian guard as they switch loyalties.

If these Princes MbS and big shots do give up the information, MbS will have no use for them. He will kill them or put them under permanent arrest to ensure that they are not a threat to his power. Only MbS' praetorian guard will carry out those orders. At that point he will be beholden to the praetorians - they will have the power of life and death over those of royal blood.

This is how it played out in Rome.

Each arrest or execution weakened the power of the Emperor.

At 10:15 AM, Blogger maverick said...

I think the coup isn't quite taking.

The Princes and big biz people are resisting. MbS has been reduced to asking them to produce large sums of money for their release per NYT.

This is a really bad sign.

At 11:36 AM, Blogger Ralphy said...

I note with grim satisfaction that the agents for russia are getting more shrill on barf forum. all the media news about russian hackers in the US must be getting to them.

in SA, the prince must be getting desperate to start accepting money. but he has to start integrating women into the economy if he wants it to grow.

At 7:54 AM, Blogger maverick said...

is there a strong overlap between Bhakts and RU supporters?

At 11:56 AM, Blogger Ralphy said...

not all of them but certainly more than a few. the most notorious of them is an englishman.


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